Standard & Poor's: Downgrading Intel's rating to BBB, the outlook is stable. The recovery of the company's business activities is slow.Since the beginning of this year, six small and medium-sized banks have "refused to redeem" tier-2 capital bonds. On December 9, Yingkou Bank Co., Ltd. announced that when the 10-year tier-2 capital bonds issued by the bank in 2019 had expired, the bank chose not to redeem the bonds. In fact, a number of commercial banks have announced this year that they will not exercise the right to redeem secondary capital bonds, mainly small and medium-sized banks. The insiders believe that there are two main reasons why banks choose not to redeem secondary capital bonds. First, it is difficult for banks to refinance and issue capital replenishment tools due to factors such as high cost of new bonds and declining profitability. Second, the bank's capital adequacy ratio has been at a low level, and some banks' capital adequacy ratio has been lower than the regulatory requirements before redemption, and the capital level may further decline after exercising the redemption right. (Securities Daily)The U.S. stock Seven Sisters | Google A closed up about 5.6%, and the breakthrough of quantum chip Willow was remarkable. NVIDIA fell by 2.7%. On Tuesday (December 10th), in Magnificent 7, Google's parent company Alphabet(GOOGL) closed up 5.59%-leading the S&P 500 telecom sector, and the biggest one-day increase since April. Approaching the record closing price of $190.71 on July 10, investors pay attention to the company's latest quantum computing chip Willow, which has achieved amazing results in the benchmark test; Tesla rose 2.87%, Meta Platforms rose over 0.9%, Apple rose over 0.4% and continued to hit a record closing high, Amazon fell over 0.4%, Microsoft fell 0.6% and NVIDIA fell 2.69%. In addition, Berkshire Hathaway Class B shares closed down 0.3%, Lilly Pharmaceuticals fell 0.5%, AMD fell 2.39%, and TSMC ADR fell 3.63%.
EIA: The net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% in 2025. The us energy information administration (EIA) said on Tuesday that it is expected that the net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% to 1.9 million barrels per day next year, which will be the lowest level since 1971, suggesting that the output of the United States will increase and the demand of refineries will decrease. EIA said in its Short-term Energy Outlook in December that the US oil production is expected to increase from 13.24 million barrels per day in 2024 to 13.52 million barrels per day in 2025. EIA also said that the crude oil processing capacity of refineries will be 16 million barrels per day in 2025, a decrease of 200,000 barrels per day compared with 2024. EIA now predicts that the average spot price of Brent crude oil in 2025 will be $73.58 per barrel, which is lower than the previous forecast of $76.06 per barrel. The average spot price of crude oil in the United States is $69.12 per barrel, which is lower than the last forecast of $71.60 per barrel.The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)New players run into REITs to upgrade their quality and expand their scope to a higher level. Several head public offerings have begun to test the REITs field. Some fund companies have issued three new products in less than three months, and small and medium-sized public offerings are also eager to try ... Recently, the new speed in REITs field has not diminished. In December, five products have been launched, which is a new high for a single month in the year. The number and scale of new REITs products have reached a record high this year. In the interview and investigation, the reporter found that "making efforts to serve the real economy", "conforming to the market investment demand under the low interest rate environment" and "the future development space of REITs market is broad" have become an important driving force for many fund companies to actively deploy such products. (CSI)
The Deputy Prime Minister of Iraq spoke to the UN Special Envoy for Syria. The two sides stressed that the previous settlement mechanism should be maintained. On December 10, local time, the Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister of Iraq, Fuad Hussein, telephoned the UN Secretary-General's Special Envoy for Syria, Pei Kairu. The two sides reviewed the current developments in Syria and analyzed its scope of influence, and discussed the possible consequences if the international community failed to take concrete actions. The two sides stressed that consultations should continue and the United Nations should play an active role in supporting the Syrian people and stabilizing the situation in the region. The two sides also stressed that the previous mechanism for resolving the Syrian conflict should be maintained and the consensus between the region and Arab countries should be brought into play to reach a plan to end the humanitarian crisis in Syria. (CCTV)South Korea's unemployment rate in November was 2.7%, expected to be 2.7%, and the previous value was 2.70%.The yield of 2/10-year US Treasury bonds rose by more than 2 basis points. In late new york on Tuesday (December 10th), the yield of US 10-year benchmark treasury bonds rose by 2.32 basis points to 4.2244%, and the intraday trading was in the range of 4.1818%-4.2438%. The yield of two-year US bonds rose by 2.48 basis points to 4.1430%, and intraday trading ranged from 4.1099% to 4.1680%. The yield spread of three-month Treasury bonds /10-year US bonds rose by 3.624 basis points to -16.951 basis points. The yield spread of US bonds in 2002/10 was roughly flat, at +7.546 basis points. The yield of US 10-year inflation-protected treasury bonds (TIPS) fell by 0.90 basis points to 1.9233%.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14